New York Film Critics Awards Predictions: Could Bradley Cooper and ‘Maestro’ Compose the First Major Win of the Oscar Season?
29.11.2023 - 20:43
/ variety.com
Clayton Davis Senior Awards Editor Oscar season begins this week in the Big Apple. The New York Film Critics Circle will be the first major group of film journalists to unveil its winners on Nov. 30.
And its selections should provide an important look at which films are viable contenders for big awards. After all, there’s been plenty of prognosticating about the movies that are generating the most heat with Oscar voters and other awards bodies. But those predictions are taking place before much hardware has actually been handed out.
Unlike previous years, where NYFCC members might not yet have seen a late-breaking contender or two (as was the case last year with “Avatar: The Way of Water”), this time there aren’t many unknown entities to factor in. Every major December release, including “The Iron Claw” and “The Color Purple,” has screened for voters. So the NYFCC honors won’t come with an asterisk.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories. Of course, winning the group’s coveted best film prize doesn’t guarantee an Oscar for best picture, but it significantly boosts the likelihood of a nomination. Since the start of the expanded best picture era in 2009, only two NYFCC winners — Todd Haynes’ “Carol” (2015) and Kelly Reichardt’s “First Cow” (2020) — have failed to secure an Oscar nod for the top honor.
And keep your eye on Haynes this year. The “May December” director is one of two filmmakers in contention who have won the critics’ best film prize twice (his other victory came for 2002’s “Far From Heaven”). The other is a New York staple, Martin Scorsese, who has been honored for “Goodfellas” (1990) and “The Irishman” (2019).
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